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May 21, 2006

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Colin Kingsbury

I think the cream in my coffee is curdling as I write this, but I think Ballmer has a leg to stand on here.

I could go into a lot more detail here, but I think that measuring innovation solely in terms of the germination of new ideas misses the point. If we think about innovation as the process of moving people from point A to point B, small companies are doing it on foot, with wheelbarrows, bicycles, and occasionally a small car. Microsoft does it with railroads. When Microsoft updates Office (and Office 2007 is a total redesign, the first in 15 years), they are changing the fundamental design of a product with an installed base in the hundreds of millions.

To be fair, MS has been way behind the curve more than once in the recent past. The Internet "happened" while they weren't paying attention, as did the notion of web search as a high-value product. But if you wipe away the pervasive distrust for Redmond that underlies so many analyses of the company's position, you'll find some very powerful things going on. The thing with Ballmer is that he is a very divisive personality, and so a lot of people discount him a priori.

Jeff Hunter

Colin - I Kant believe it. Someone used "a priori" in a comment on my blog. It's enough to make an old philosophy major cry. (Well, not that old.)

Perhaps the potential difference of opinion lies in what we mean by "innovation." To use your metaphor, I think that big companies tend to do a good job of coming up with lots of new ways to make wheelbarrows better, but rarely come up with the idea of a train. Christensen explored this best. Microsoft can't be a disruptor because it earns too much money through incrementalism.

To your example, The Office system may indeed be a complete rewrite (and I have heard that it really rocks, so I am excited to see it), but an increasing number of people are producing text on light-weight, network-centric thin clients, not feature rich, thick-client task specific applications. Microsoft simply can't afford to innovate in that areas, because it would kill a major cash cow.

As I said in the piece, I think that Microsoft has a lot to crow about, and I am really not one of those who is predisposed to dislike Mr. Ballmer just because he is with the evil empire. I just think that he should be making his case more the way you made it, and less in the sort of logic-deying way that he did.

Thanks Colin!

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